Part of the reason for the run up has to do with the activity in Europe and the stimulative measures (ESFS exapansion, ECB bond purchases) being taken to deal with the sovereign debt crisis. There's also been a lot of chatter lately about Israel preparing for a strike on Iran. Both WTI and Brent have had nice recent gains but its interesting to see that the spread between the two has narrowed considerably.
Because the most recent crisis is centered in Europe, the expected slow down in economic activity and energy usage in that region could be tempering the move in Brent (Brent crude originates in Europe).
Going forward I expect to hear conflicting messages coming out of the ECB as they attempt to keep a lid on Italian bond yields while at the same time try to avoid a run up in oil prices.
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